The Bellwether
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The Consensus Republic
Nigeria’s primaries have always been decided before they began. This has been true in the Fourth Republic, and long before it.
May 27
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
16
2
12
The Issue with 'Claiming' Success
Champions Arsenal, My Father's Shadow and Nigeria's diaspora identity crisis
May 20
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
28
2
9
The Machinery of Ethnicity
How the conventions built to manage Nigeria's diversity became the system that entrenches it.
May 13
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
35
19
He Who Pays the Umpire
Who does Nigeria's electoral commission actually answer to, and why has that question never been settled?
May 6
•
ChiAmaka Dike
38
5
16
April 2026
All the Presidents’ Men
Nigeria actually has policy congruence, just not where expected
Apr 29
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
28
2
10
A Country Running on Estimates
Nigeria budgets, fields votes, and plans—just not from the same set of facts
Apr 22
•
Hillary Essien
15
1
10
The State Sends Its Condolences
Is Nigeria's insecurity by design?
Apr 15
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
11
7
The Opposition Cannot Hold
Nigeria's opposition movement is limited by design
Apr 8
•
Kunle
68
7
25
Conventions without convictions
The absence of policy discourse is down to how political parties are designed
Apr 1
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
26
3
14
March 2026
The Spectre of a One-Party State
Is it possible to run a one party state successfully in Nigeria?
Mar 25
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
35
2
16
An Obituary for the PDP
No umbrella for the rain
Mar 18
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
42
3
16
The Lifecycle of a Nigerian Ruling Party
What goes up, must come down...
Mar 11
•
Afolabi Adekaiyaoja
62
3
27
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